Avis Budget Group Stock Performance
| CAR Stock | USD 93.99 6.30 7.18% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.4, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Avis Budget will likely underperform. At this point, Avis Budget Group has a negative expected return of -0.51%. Please make sure to confirm Avis Budget's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Avis Budget Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Avis Budget Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 537 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -5.2 B |
Avis Budget Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 13,395 in Avis Budget Group on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,996) from holding Avis Budget Group or give up 29.83% of portfolio value over 90 days. Avis Budget Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.7969% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Avis, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Avis Budget Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Avis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 93.99 | 90 days | 93.99 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avis Budget to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Avis Budget Group probability density function shows the probability of Avis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Avis Budget Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avis Budget
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avis Budget Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avis Budget Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avis Budget is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avis Budget's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avis Budget Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avis Budget within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Avis Budget Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avis Budget for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avis Budget Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avis Budget Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avis Budget Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Avis Budget Group has 31.17 B in debt. Avis Budget Group has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Avis to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 11.65 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (889 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3 B. | |
| Avis Budget Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Avis Budget Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avis Budget's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avis Budget's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 519 M |
Avis Budget Fundamentals Growth
Avis Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Avis Budget, and Avis Budget fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Avis Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.73 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0249 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 34.32 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 35.2 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 4.30 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 7.14 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.29 X | ||||
| Revenue | 11.65 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 5.25 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 579 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 12.05 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 31.17 B | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (89.40) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.3 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (59.11) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 32.19 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.14 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.63 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.51 B | ||||
About Avis Budget Performance
Assessing Avis Budget's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Avis Budget's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Avis Budget is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers. Avis Budget Group, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey. Avis Budget operates under Rental Leasing Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 16000 people.Things to note about Avis Budget Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avis Budget for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Avis Budget Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avis Budget Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avis Budget Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Avis Budget Group has 31.17 B in debt. Avis Budget Group has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Avis to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 11.65 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (889 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3 B. | |
| Avis Budget Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
- Analyzing Avis Budget's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Avis Budget's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Avis Budget's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Avis Budget's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Avis Budget's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Avis Budget's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Avis Budget's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Avis Stock Analysis
When running Avis Budget's price analysis, check to measure Avis Budget's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avis Budget is operating at the current time. Most of Avis Budget's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avis Budget's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avis Budget's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avis Budget to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.